Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Notes on Fed Meeting 12.12.2012
  • FED SAYS MONTHLY PURCHASES TO TOTAL $85 BLN
  • LINKS INTEREST-RATE OUTLOOK TO INFLATION, UNEMPLOYMENT 
  • ADOPTS ECONOMIC THRESHOLDS FOR POLICY TIGHTENING
  • *FED TO KEEP BUYING MORTGAGE BONDS AT PACE OF $40 BLN PER MONTH    
  • *FED BOOSTS QE WITH $45 BILLION IN MONTHLY TREASURY PURCHASES 
  •  adds 5s to QE
  • * DROPS 2015 DATE FROM STATEMENT....the linkage to economic variables substitutes for the calendar target so not quite a big deal.    
  • *RATES TO STAY LOW WITH INFLATION SEEN AT 2.5% OR LESS, or 50 bp over target *>> and as longer-term inflation expectations remain well anchored.   
  • * RATES TO STAY EXCEPTIONALLY LOW WITH JOBLESS ABOVE 6.5%         
  • EXPECTS TO START TREASURY PURCHASES IN JANUARY    
  • * FED LEAVES FEDERAL FUNDS RATE TARGET AT ZERO TO 0.25%    
  • * FED SEES `SIGNIFICANT DOWNSIDE RISKS'    
  • * LACKER DISSENTS FROM FOMC DECISION
  • ** growth in business fixed-investment has slowed