Good Morning,
There is no economic news today.
In a speech from Bush this morning, the Auto makers will receive 17.4 billion to assist them with their intermediary capital issues. The auto makers will have until March to have a plan together regarding how they will restructure. The 17.4 Billion must be repaid, however no time line was spelled out in the speech. The loans may act as an ease for the companies to enter into chapter 11 bankruptcy.
What has this done for MBS? We have been all over the place this morning.
As stocks increase on the news, treasuries and MBS have suffered somewhat.
Many people that have been following MBS have noticed that mortgage pricing should probably be better than it is. That leads of course to the Why?
With the volatility that we've had recently for one with rates dropping significantly, prepayments - due to rates dropping, forward unmet commitments, foreclosure risk, EPO's and EDP's - Investors really don't know where to price anymore. For example, if you purchased MBS with a yield of say 1%, it is going to take some time to see those profits. If the loan pays off early - well, that was a total waste of time for the investor as they will see no gains whatsoever. The reality of gain I was told is roughly 4 years of performance.
Jay Cain - Bank of Ann Arbor