Tuesday, March 1, 2011

Poor Credit Tops List of Homeownership Barriers.
Rents Seen Rising

________________________________________
by Jann Swanson

Fannie Mae's latest National Housing Survey shows that Americans have markedly changed their perception of homeownership.

The most recent survey, conducted between October and December 2010, revealed that 64 percent of respondents felt buying a home was a safe investment. This is 6 points below the responses given in a January 2010 survey and 19 points below the answers to an initial survey conducted in 2003. Persons who are currently renting or who are delinquent on their mortgages ranked home owning lower with 53 percent of both subgroups feeling a home was a safe investment.

But at the same time, 84 percent of consumers believe that owning a home makes more sense than renting, a number that has remained relatively stable since the January 2010 survey. Respondents gave, as positive reasons for homeownership the quality of local schools (79 percent) and safety (also 79 percent.) These ranked far ahead of any financial considerations such as tax benefits or a belief that paying rent makes less sense. Among renters 28 percent thought renting made more sense.

The National Housing Survey was conducted by phone with 3,407 Americans age 18 and up. The sample included a random group of 3,004 members of the general population made up of 751 homeowners, 1,232 mortgage borrowers, and 871 renters. An oversample of 403 random delinquent borrowers was also contacted. Fannie Mae conducted similar surveys in January and June 2010 and from July to September 2010 and in 2003. The survey reported out some of its findings among subsets which included renters, delinquent borrowers, Afro-Americans, Hispanics, and "Generation Y" (adults aged 18 to 34.)

Americans have grown more confident about the stability of home prices than they were one year ago although this is not matched by their attitudes regarding strength in the economy. A majority (78 percent) feel that home prices will either stay the same or go up (73 percent held this position in January) versus 19 percent who expect further declines. Expectations among the 26 percent expecting an increase were modest; the average projected increase was 0.4 percent.

A larger share of respondents - 39 percent - expect rents to increase over the next year with the average estimate of increase at 2.8 percent.

"Over the course of the last year, we gained deeper insights into Americans' confidence in the strength of the housing market and the economic recovery," said Doug Duncan, Vice President and Chief Economist of Fannie Mae. "More Americans believe that housing prices will remain stable over the next year. We also are seeing encouraging signs in the positive attitudes toward homeownership among younger Americans, despite the severe impact of the housing crisis on Generation Y. But most respondents to our survey continue to lack confidence in the strength of the economic recovery, and they are less optimistic about their ability to buy a home in the years ahead. This sense of uncertainty is weighing on the housing recovery today and reshaping expectations for housing for the future."

Consumers' own financial situations have not improved over the last year. Six in 10 respondents said their monthly household income has remained about the same compared to January 2010 while nearly half of the delinquent borrowers reported a significant decline. Significantly higher expenses were reported by 34 percent of respondents and 22 percent reported significant declines.

Financial reasons were most frequently named as significant obstacles to owning a home; poor credit topped the list. 42 percent of renters and seventy-three percent of delinquent borrowers cited income which is insufficient for their existing expenses. Seventy-nine percent of renters believe they would have to make a financial sacrifice to own a home and 54 percent say it would require a "great deal" of sacrifice.

The number of delinquent borrowers who say they have considered defaulting on their mortgage has declined from 39 percent in January 2010 to 31 percent and most Americans (86 percent) continue to disapprove of strategic defaults even when the home is underwater.

Despite being hit hard by the housing crisis which saw the homeownership rates in its age group drop almost four percentage points since 2009 to 39.8 percent, Generation Y remains positive about owning a home. Sixty-one percent of that subgroup in the survey felt that buying a home is a safe investment. They gave a higher value to the impact of homeownership on societal status and as a place to raise children than did other subgroups in the survey.

Minority groups have a more positive outlook toward homeownership and the economy than the general population. Fifty-none percent of Hispanics expect their personal financial situation to improve over the next year compared to 78 percent of the general population and 40 percent of African Americans. About a third of each of the two minority groups say that it is likely they will buy a home in the next three years compared to about 25 percent of all survey respondents. Both Hispanics and African-Americans are more likely, in most cases by double digits, to place a high value on homeownership as a good place to raise children, a better way to provide an education for those children, a motivation to be a better citizen, a place to keep your family safe, and as a wealth builder than is the general population.. Only 38 percent of African Americans think the economy is on the wrong track compared to 62 percent of the general population and 59 percent of Hispanics

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

FHA Insurance Hike!

FHA Commissioner Explains Logic Behind Insurance Premium Hike
________________________________________
by Adam Quinones

Last week the FHA announced it would increase annual mortgage insurance premiums by 0.25% to "bolster capital reserves", effective for case numbers ordered on or after April 18, 2011. Naturally the sudden spike in fees led to a chorus of Bronx cheers from inside the housing industry. Originator, Realtor, and Borrower feedback was generally themed along the lines of comments like "GREAT TIMING. REDUCING THE POOL OF QUALIFIED HOMEBUYERS WILL DEFINITELY BOOST THE HOUSING RECOVERY".

Please note sarcasm. And yes, capital letters were intended to imply yelling. Beyond the frustrated muttering that emanated from the trenches, a deeper explanation of this move was requested as this move seemed to make no sense at all. So in the spirit of transparency and open communication from industry leadership, FHA Commissioner David Stevens decided it was time to pen another letter offering more perspective on the issue. The following words are his, not MND's....

A Letter from the Desk of David Stevens
On February 14, I announced a new premium structure for FHA single-family mortgages, increasing the annual mortgage insurance premium (MIP) by a quarter of a percentage point (.25) on all 30-year and 15-year loans.

It is important for everyone in the industry to understand the reason for this action.

After careful consideration and analysis, we determined it was necessary to increase the annual mortgage insurance premium at this time in order to bolster our capital reserves and to help private capital return to the housing market. As many of you are aware, FHA has a Congressionally-mandated obligation to maintain a two percent capital reserve ratio in its Mutual Mortgage Insurance (MMI) fund, and to take swift and necessary actions if the reserves fall below that level.

The MMI fund has been below the two percent threshold in our last two annual actuarial reports to Congress. The FY 2010 actuarial report, submitted in November, projected that in the base case we would not get above two percent again until 2015. FHA has suffered greatly from poorly performing loans originated in years 2006 - 2008, especially seller-funded loans.

Raising the annual premium will enable FHA to increase revenues and have a positive effect on the ongoing stability of the MMI fund, which had capital reserves of approximately $3.6 billion at the end of FY 2010. Based on current volume projections, the annual MIP increase would generate an additional $2.5 - $3 billion annually.

We must balance this premium adjustment with the need to support the overall housing recovery. This quarter point increase in the annual MIP is a responsible step towards meeting the two percent threshold, while allowing FHA to remain the most cost effective mortgage insurance option for borrowers with lower incomes and lower down payments.

The changes we have implemented since I became Commissioner in July 2009 have, so far, helped shelter FHA from any external intervention which could have a negative impact on the business. Though there has been talk by some of eliminating all Government guarantees, I believe that responsible management of FHA will eliminate the need for intervention.

I recommended this increase based on FHA’s obligation to get the capital reserves back to the two percent level. And I understand the concerns of those in the industry about this increase. While I do not expect all to agree, we have made these moves to protect FHA so that it can continue its vital mission.

The monthly payment for an average loan in the FHA portfolio will increase by approximately $30 due to the increase in the annual MIP. The change impacts new loans insured by FHA on or after April 18, 2011. The upfront MIP will remain unchanged at one percent. HECM loans are not impacted by the pricing change.
For more details,

read Mortgagee Letter 11-10
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Tuesday, February 22, 2011

Why You Should Buy That Home Now

Real Estate by AnnaMaria Andriotis (Author Archive)
Why You Should Buy That Home Now

The Obama administration's proposals this morning to extricate the government from mortgage lending sounded the death knell for Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. They weren't good news for homebuyers, either. In the proposals were changes that will mean more expensive mortgages, with higher fees and, probably, higher interest rates, larger down payments and, in the near term, fewer lenders to choose from.
No Money Down? Not Anymore

As housing prices drop, mortgage lenders are requiring larger downpayments on homes. Kelsey Hubbard talks to WSJ's Mitra Kalita about what the changes mean for consumers. ( Watch video .)

The changes aren't effective immediately, and, some, if passed by Congress, won't go into effect for several years. Even so, they pose a dilemma for today's would-be homebuyers: loans are cheaper today than they're likely to be in the future – but one of the unintended consequences of the proposals could be another drop in home prices should higher mortgage costs dampen demand. Unfortunately, there's no single right answer, experts say. "Buyers shouldn't rush in – but there's no reason in most markets to delay waiting for something better to come along – it probably won't," says Barry Zigas, director of housing policy at the Consumer Federation of America.
Congress will ultimately decide whether Fannie and Freddie have a future, and whether the other changes could go into effect as soon as this fall. Here are the big three:

Smaller mortgages
In October, the maximum size of mortgages backed by Fannie and Freddie will shrink. (That's when the current limits are set to expire, and the president's report is calling for them to not be extended.) Currently, in high-cost cities like New York and San Francisco, homebuyers can borrow up to $729,750 for a single-family home; that amount drops 14% to $625,500. The $417,000 amount for more moderately priced areas will remain the same. The new limitation would, for example, render 10% of homes in San Francisco County ineligible for financing backed by Fannie or Freddie, according to analysis by the California Association of Realtors. It could also crimp refinancing for borrowers who try to get a home loan beyond these limits.
Higher fees

In November, the Federal Housing Administration could raise annual mortgage insurance premium fees by 0.25% for all borrowers, according to proposals. The hike comes out to an extra $250 per $100,000 of mortgage per year, which borrowers can pay upfront or have rolled into their mortgage. The new premium could be as high as 1.2%, up from a previous maximum of 0.95%. Over the life of a 30-year $300,000 mortgage, the higher rate means at least an additional $12,000 more in payments. Separately, two of the administration's proposals would provide mortgage insurance for some mortgages -- for a fee, which would be passed along to the borrower.
Bigger down payments

Currently, borrowers can try to get a mortgage from a bank with just 5% down by taking on mortgage insurance – mostly because that mortgage is then sold off to Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. That requirement would gradually increase to 10%, according to the proposals, but a Freddie Mac spokesman says no implementation details are available at this time.

There are other government groups with a similar agenda, and similar effects on homebuyers. Housing regulators are currently considering making it harder to get a mortgage – higher down payments are possible, as are other hurdles – and are expected to offer specifics in April. Around the same time, mortgages backed by Freddie Mac (starting March 1) and Fannie Mae (starting April 1) will get more expensive by 0.25% to 0.50%. Later in the summer, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, which is expected to make mortgages a top priority, could make the process of originating a mortgage more expensive for the lender by requiring, for example, more personnel to check documentation, says Keith Gumbinger, vice president at HSH Associates, which tracks the mortgage market. And those costs will likely be passed along to borrowers as well.

Long term, consumer advocates worry that if the government stops backing private mortgages, as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac do currently, lenders will get out of the market and consumers will have fewer options. But for now, it's simply possible that mortgages will become more expensive, as lenders react to the uncertainty that's just been introduced to the market. As it is, mortgages have already become more difficult to obtain. In August 2010, the most recent data available from mortgage data firm CoreLogic, the average mortgage borrower had a credit score of 767, higher than the average score of 761 six months prior.

And in the long term, should these proposals go into play, a healthier housing market could ensue, says Stu Feldstein, president at SMR Research, which tracks home loan data. The most sweeping message of the proposals is that the government won't help every American buy a home, especially if they can't afford it. "Houses will be sold to people with financial wherewithal to buy them and will reduce foreclosures going forward," he says.

Friday, February 18, 2011

5 Reasons To Buy Now!

Selling Your House? 5 Reasons To Do It NOW!
by The KCM Crew on February 15, 2011 •

The conventional wisdom when selling a home has always been to wait until the ‘Spring Buying Season’. Over the years, that has seemed to make sense and is now accepted as a good strategy for those who want to sell their house and receive the best possible price. This real estate market has shattered many previously held beliefs. The wisdom of waiting for a spring market is another belief that is about to fall. Here are five reasons why?

1.) Interest Rates Are On the Rise
Interest rates have spiked up rather dramatically over the last ninety days and are now over 5%. Initially, an increase in rates has a positive effect on the market as it forces buyers off the fence. However, it also eats into a buyer’s purchasing power. As rates increase, the mortgage amount a buyer qualifies for decreases. This will eventually have a negative impact on prices.

2.) Your Dream Home Will Never Be Cheaper
If your family goal is to sell your current house and take advantage of the fabulous selection of properties currently available to buy the home of your dreams, DO IT NOW! Prices will continue to soften in most markets. However, if you are buying, COST should be more important than PRICE. Cost can be dramatically impacted by rising mortgage interest rates. Do the math and decide if now is the time.

3.) Buyers Are Out Early
There is mounting evidence that buyers are coming out earlier this year. A belief that now is a good time to buy coupled with the increase in interest rates has started the buying season early.
Pete Flint, CEO of Trulia:

“We’re seeing a national resurgence of buyer and seller activity on Trulia.com. In January alone, we experienced an unprecedented level of site traffic including 11 million unique visitors – which is more than 70 percent year-over-year growth. We’ve are now experiencing 100,000 property views per minute.”
The National Association of Realtors just reported that the number of house sales increased 12.9% over last month.

4.) Inventory Increases Every Spring
Every year there is an increase of inventory which comes to market as we approach the spring. Here is the number of listings available for sale in 2010.
• February – 3,531,000
• March – 3,626,000
• April – 4,029,000
We believe there will be an increase in these numbers in 2011 as there is a pent-up selling demand created by the weak market of the last few years. You won’t have to worry about this increasing competition if you sell now.

5.) We Are in the Eye of the Foreclosure Storm
While banks are trying to rectify their foreclosure procedures, there is a large supply of discounted properties which has been delayed coming to market. This inventory will be released sometime in the next few months. Foreclosures sell on average at a 41% discount. When released they will be competing with your house for the buyers in the marketplace. If you are looking to sell in 2011, you want to sell before this inventory becomes your competition.

CNN Money quoted the leadership Of RealtyTrac on this issue:

“We’ve now seen three straight months with fewer than 300,000 properties receiving foreclosure filings, following 20 straight months where the total exceeded 300,000,” said James Saccacio, CEO of RealtyTrac.
“Unfortunately,” he added, “This is less a sign of a robust housing recovery and more a sign that lenders have become bogged down in reviewing procedures, resubmitting paperwork and formulating legal arguments related to accusations of improper foreclosure processing.”

“We expect a spike in the first quarter,” said Rick Sharga, a RealtyTrac spokesman.

Bottom Line
These are five strong reasons to sell now instead of waiting until later in the year. Sit down with a local real estate professional today and decide the best options for you and your family.

Friday, April 30, 2010

RURAL Housing USDA Funding May Be Coming Soon To A Lender Near You!

USDA • USDA funds status as of April 27, 2010:

Total unobligated balances remaining for USDA fiscal year 2010: $1,130,860,689.38

Purchase: $1,046,482,690.77
Refinance: $84,377,998.61

USDA anticipates that current funding will likely be exhausted by May 7, 2010.

But Wait…… The U.S. House of Representatives recently passed the Rural Housing Preservation and Stabilization Act of 2010 (H.R. 5017). Through this legislation, the guarantee fee in the USDA Guaranteed Rural Housing (GRH) Program may be raised to offset any need for Congressional appropriations. Additionally, H.R. 5017 would authorize USDA Rural Development to guarantee up to $30 billion in loans in Fiscal Year 2010. This would represent an additional $18 billion in loan making authority for the remainder of this fiscal year. Be advised that there is a requirement in this bill to increase the UPMIP from 2% to 4%. Before these changes can be implemented, similar legislative action will need to occur in the U.S. Senate.

Thursday, February 18, 2010